Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 1180.730061 1336.102000 1507.077389 1709.653505 1943.722738 2206.391626 2524.462218
2025-11-16 943.109302 1151.363049 1401.161601 1724.896477 2136.279896 2645.477920 3329.478035
2025-11-23 814.733988 1045.546284 1338.700833 1742.367094 2290.029457 3016.185489 4066.973077
2025-11-30 729.487480 974.535543 1300.538353 1772.356593 2448.350240 3398.303439 4863.695753
2025-12-07 640.409437 883.829038 1220.120717 1727.197490 2487.443230 3609.425656 5437.425618
2025-12-14 568.835698 807.452316 1148.096975 1680.540245 2511.554232 3792.926507 5986.619270
2025-12-21 507.771319 738.786782 1078.246277 1626.056257 2512.402168 3934.356656 6481.560410
2025-12-28 483.088301 720.872619 1080.814287 1681.228077 2689.940530 4377.298429 7549.594575
2026-01-04 454.774836 694.144035 1066.279846 1705.907031 2818.021542 4751.323338 8553.206923
2026-01-11 427.981978 666.980807 1047.804415 1720.845477 2929.285479 5107.788196 9579.773238
2026-01-18 403.635905 641.359864 1028.980419 1732.233088 3034.001388 5463.701911 10662.403255
2026-01-25 387.422647 627.557841 1028.191981 1774.395139 3198.786966 5952.895347 12101.839646
2026-02-01 367.752009 606.922283 1014.954245 1794.740468 3329.058398 6401.679257 13561.194121
2026-02-08 348.642728 585.740550 998.983302 1808.560178 3449.065590 6849.071196 15112.997969
2026-02-15 332.100493 567.569536 986.501616 1827.146913 3580.102163 7337.553471 16860.204469
2026-02-22 318.815849 554.073308 981.178317 1858.791113 3741.737079 7916.368652 18953.801873
2026-03-01 296.506810 522.247374 938.766936 1811.127817 3726.502747 8091.510765 20041.350370
2026-03-08 276.054711 492.374215 897.641114 1761.892204 3701.520101 8239.581435 21087.122959
2026-03-15 256.428544 462.690388 854.585981 1704.410038 3650.969083 8318.721947 21958.287091
2026-03-22 251.220823 460.306114 865.066429 1762.617977 3875.632633 9114.005621 25096.231850
2026-03-29 242.875944 451.145346 861.120583 1788.659563 4027.007107 9746.643684 27903.007691
2026-04-05 234.054861 440.389010 853.004350 1804.424168 4155.171119 10338.866037 30735.785882
2026-04-12 225.464053 429.484389 843.690834 1816.442237 4275.450411 10929.636231 33722.816166